Overall burden of comorbid disease and survival prognosis
Primary source: Charlson ME et al. J Chronic Dis 1987; 40(5): 373-383
The Charlson Comorbidity Index (Charlson ME et al, J Chronic Dis 1987) is a standard measure of comorbid disease burden and 10-year survival prognosis. It includes 19 conditions with different point weights (1–6): MI, CHF, peripheral vascular disease, stroke, dementia, COPD, connective tissue disease, peptic ulcer disease, mild liver disease, diabetes (with/without complications), hemiplegia, CKD, tumor (solid and metastatic), leukemia, lymphoma, severe liver disease, AIDS.
An age adjustment is added to the base index: +1 point for each decade after age 50. Total score 0+. Interpretation of 1-year mortality: 0 — 12%, 1–2 — 26%, 3–4 — 52%, ≥ 5 — 85%. 10-year survival: 0 points — 99%, 1 — 96%, 2 — 90%, 3 — 77%, 4 — 53%, ≥ 5 — < 21%.
Used as a universal comorbidity profile in clinical research and for outcome prediction in patients with severe multimorbidity. Particularly useful in oncology (choosing aggressive vs palliative management), surgery (procedural risk), and geriatrics.
A 72-year-old man with three comorbidities: history of MI (1), stage 4 CKD (2), diabetes with diabetic retinopathy and nephropathy (2). 40-year smoking history.
MI (1) + severe CKD (2) + diabetes with end-organ damage (2) + age adjustment for 70+ years (3, +1 for each decade after 50) = 8 points.
High comorbidity index (≥ 5). 10-year survival prognosis is low (< 21%), 1-year mortality is high (~85% with a concurrent acute illness). Management: reprioritize care — aggressive interventions are justified only if they meaningfully improve quality of life. Cancer screening (colonoscopy, mammography) is often not indicated when life expectancy is < 10 years. Focus shifts to symptomatic treatment and control of underlying conditions.
Validated scores and formulas with full interpretation, clinical examples and source references. Open access, no registration required.
65+ calculators · scores and formulas · interpretation with management notes