Stroke risk assessment in the first 2-7 days after TIA
Primary source: Johnston SC et al. Lancet 2007; 369(9558): 283-292
ABCD² is a clinical scale for estimating the risk of ischemic stroke in the 7 days following a transient ischemic attack (TIA). It was developed by S. Johnston et al. (Lancet, 2007) based on data from more than 4,000 patients. The acronym stands for Age, Blood pressure, Clinical features, Duration, and Diabetes.
Parameters: age ≥ 60 years (1 point), BP ≥ 140/90 (1 point), unilateral motor deficit (2 points) or speech disturbance without motor deficit (1 point), duration ≥ 60 min (2 points) or 10-59 min (1 point), diabetes mellitus (1 point). Total score 0-7. Stratification: 0-3, low risk (~1% at 7 days); 4-5, moderate risk (~4%); 6-7, high risk (~8%).
Current guidelines (AHA 2021) have shifted from using ABCD² purely as a predictive tool toward urgent work-up of all high-risk TIA patients within the first 24 hours, regardless of ABCD² score. The scale nevertheless remains useful for documentation and screening in outpatient practice.
A 72-year-old man presented 6 hours after an episode of right-sided arm and leg weakness lasting about 90 minutes. Blood pressure on admission 165/95, type 2 diabetes mellitus on insulin, neurologic exam fully normalized at the time of evaluation.
Age ≥ 60 (1) + BP ≥ 140/90 (1) + unilateral motor deficit (2) + duration ≥ 60 min (2) + diabetes (1) = 7 points.
Very high risk (~8% stroke risk within 7 days). Management: immediate admission, urgent neuroimaging (CT or MRI), carotid duplex ultrasound and/or CT angiography, echocardiography, Holter monitoring to screen for atrial fibrillation, initiation of antiplatelet therapy (aspirin loading dose 300 mg, followed by clopidogrel or ticagrelor plus aspirin for a short period per guidelines), statin therapy, and blood pressure control.
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