Risk stratification in confirmed PE (30-day mortality)
Primary source: Aujesky D et al. Am J Respir Crit Care Med 2005; 172(8): 1041-1046
PESI (Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index) is a prognostic score for estimating 30-day mortality in patients with confirmed pulmonary embolism (PE). It was developed by D. Aujesky et al. (Am J Respir Crit Care Med, 2005) in a cohort of 15,531 patients. It includes 11 clinical parameters: age, sex, active cancer, history of heart failure, chronic lung disease, heart rate, SBP, respiratory rate, temperature, altered mental status, and SaO₂.
The total score divides patients into 5 risk classes: I (≤ 65 points, mortality 0-1.6%), II (66-85, 1.7-3.5%), III (86-105, 3.2-7.1%), IV (106-125, 4.0-11.4%), V (>125, 10-24.5%). Classes I-II are considered low risk — these patients may be candidates for outpatient treatment with direct oral anticoagulants, supported by data from the OTPE trial and endorsed by the 2019 ESC guidelines.
PESI is used after PE has been confirmed (CT pulmonary angiography or scintigraphy), not for pretest probability assessment. For the decision between hospitalization and outpatient management, the simplified sPESI (only 6 items) is often used instead, as it is clinically comparable in accuracy and faster to calculate.
78-year-old woman with confirmed PE (CT-PA showing bilateral segmental filling defects). History of breast cancer, NYHA class II heart failure. Heart rate 112/min, SBP 102 mm Hg, respiratory rate 26/min, temperature 36.7°C, alert and oriented, SaO₂ 89% on room air.
Age 78 (+78) + female sex (+10) + cancer (+30) + heart failure (+10) + heart rate > 110 (+20) + respiratory rate > 30 — no, 26 (0) + temperature < 36 — no (0) + SaO₂ < 90 (+20) = 168 points.
Class V (very high risk, 30-day mortality 10-24.5%). Hospitalization is indicated, preferably in the ICU. Further work-up should include echocardiography, troponin, and BNP. Therapy consists of full-dose anticoagulation; if hemodynamic instability develops, consider thrombolysis or thrombectomy.
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